James Comey

i was watching the james comey hearing.  But all the really fun question he says “i dont feel like i can answer that in an open setting.”

if you had to drink every time he said that you would be drunk

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Thomas

This past weekend, I ran into a gentle man at Walmart.  He was wearing an old Kevin Garnett C’s jersey.   I asked him while waiting at Subway, what the C’s should do with the number 1 pick.  I am only a casual C’s fan I dont watch other sports until football is over.

He told me the C’s should keep the number 1 pick, that Butler in Chicago wasn’t the type of player they needed.  He didnt argue that butler wasnt a great player just not the type of player the C’s need with the supporting cast they have.  In baseball its easier for me to see, I know the game.  If you have a stude centerfielder you dont trade for a centerfielder, if your the Pats the need to trade for a QB is pretty pointless.  So I couldnt disagree

Thomas put u 53 points in a playoff game, being a casual fan not actual fan I was under the impression he was good.  The C’s fan I talked to regarded him as a selfish prick.  He regarding him as a me player.  I can see those players more easily in football, wide outs that say I need 15 targets a game to do anything.

Thomas got injured on Friday, I thought the C’s were done with it.  He told me Thomas was out for the season.  He told me Thomas should be traded.

then 24 hours later without Thomas at Cleveland the C’s won.

So now I sit here and ponder Thomas might actual be that me, player I was told he was.

 

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Thursday Draft

I have a warped fantasy theory, a dream about finding my starting Qb in the 12th round.   The qb is Brian Hoyer.  With San Fran passing on a QB day 1 of the draft that is looking like a better and better option.  Most of the QB that left New England have not done well, Hoyer has had success in Cleveland, Houston, Minnesota, and had an impressive 300 yard game streak in Chicago.  Hopefully Shanahan likes him too.

Cleveland last year and this year had me saying those guys pulled off an impressive draft day trade, then they go and do something stupid.  With all the holes in Cleveland why did they draft a tight end with their second 1st round pick, I dont get it.   I considered Gary Barnidge quality, he has had those hello guys Im here weeks as a Cleveland Tight end.  I did not see tight end as a round 1 need in the draft.

Some running backs went round 1 in Jacksonville and Carolina, probably needed in both places Ivory wasnt much of a fit in Jacksonville and Carolina needed some youth. Neither Jax of Car running backs before the draft were on my fantasy radar.

Was curious if the Saints liked Butler, they drafted a corner, as a pats fan Im happy to have Butler another year.  and the last pick of the 1st round threw me, they drafted O-Line, granted they had an o-lineman leave to GB, but they addressed that need.

I liked the Broncos pick, I dont see them as a team with many holes, I liked the O-line.  My Mr. anderson side of fantasy likes that pick too, Ill be sliding him up a little on my cheat sheet.

i counted 6 qbs I liked in this years draft.  With that, a guy I was rooting for got shafted.  Mike Glennon.   I felt he had talent, then the Bucs drafted Jamies Winston, he signs with Chicago and they traded up from 3 to 2, to grab what the scouts believe was the best QB, poor Glennon he cant catch a break.  Also counting 6 qbs I like, I think the Texans gave up way to much to move upto number 12.  It was the flip side of the Brownies trade.  The Texans was the trading partner.  I am not going to argue Savage is all that, but I didnt see the need to trade up to draft who they did.  The Chiefs made a move at QB, I think that signals the end of alex to cold strohs.  at least the kid will not have to get thrown into the fire right away.   I didnt see the Chiefs going qb.

The Colts drafted D, Im still befuddled.

well I am curious if Malcolm will get anded with a pick to Seattle for Sherman.

Overall DE and CB where popular in round 1.

 

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Richard Sherman

He general goes against everything that Bill Bellichek has done.

Its not that he isnt a great player.  Its his age, 29.

Bellichek likes them young.  However if your going to tell me Richard Sherman is going to play for less money than Stephen Gilmore.

Well, Bellichek is also a bargain shopper.

I just read the Sherman is guaranteed $22 million over the next 2 years.

If Butler signs that first round tender, I do believe his bags are packed.  But the Pats cannot trade him unless he signs.

I personal can’t figure out Butler.  If he doesnt want to play for the Pats, all he has to do is sign that f’in tender and hes out of here.

If he signs that tender he is guaranteed to play for at least $3 million next season, if he doesnt he will probably be playing for noticeable less.

He is a young talented corner.  Probably easily top 7.  Nobody is going to trade for him and let him walk away.

Look whatever team gets Butler is going to have a very good corner for around 6 years.  Then misc. shit kicks in, does he understand how to take care of his body like a Terrence Newman.  Then a team could get a dozen years out of him, Newman played very well last year at 38.

Granted Newman is a freakishly rare corner, like Brady is a freakishly rare QB, most people have had father time catch upto them by then.

But butler I will always like, but as a Pats fan I would be happy to get a first round pick for him or Richard Sherman at the end of his career.

Look if Butler signs the tag he plays for a little over $3 million, and the team will probably sign him to a contract.  If they do not their only option if they wanted to keep him would be the franchise tag.   Or he hits free agency and finds out what he is worth.

The kid got cold feet or something?

With a corner back tandem of Sherman and Gilmore I would definitely see number 6 as very realistic.

However after number 6 I would expect some rebuilding there was a fall off after 2004.

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Peterson

I sit here and I try to formulate my mad drafting strategies for the upcoming fantasy football season.

I am in a weekly win league mainly its a small friends and family league its $105 a team for the year +$1 per move.   Money is kinda of funny.  I won the league about 3 years ago with +$70, and finished in second last year at +$110.  I think only 1 year someone won over $1,000, that year the league had 10 teams.

I might do a smaller money league on Yahoo with either 10-12 teams at $50-$100 total for the team.

Either way I value combos, duos, or tandems whatever you want to call them.  I value them to the point where my starting fantasy QB would be Eli Manning currently ranked 17th on Fantasy Pros being my starting QB if I landed OBJ.

I also think if Brian Hoyer wins the starting QB job in San Francisco hes going to put up 4,000 yards and 25 touchdowns.  So at least in 1 league Ill be going for that ever dangerous Hoyer Garcon combo.  It is something even in a 12 team league I should be able to get mid to late rounds and its those picks that make your team.

Last year someone who won me 2 weeks was Mark Ingram, he started out real slow even got zonked against Seattle at home, he did manage to put up 2 30 point weeks, and won me 2 weeks.

I am targeting Mark Ingram again as a starting back.

This Adrian Peterson thing keeps popping up.  Look when I was younger parents where allowed to hit their kids.  One of my friends even had his mother break a plate over his head.  Guess what no one raised as much as an eyebrow about it.   So I cannot sit here and say Peterson is the spawn of satan and still like my friends parents without being a hypocrite.

I believe if he was still playing at an all pro level teams wouldnt care.  But enough people are probably bothered by what he did that his career maybe over.

Look, I want to target Ingram in fantasy so please stay out of New Orleans.

its like if Kaepernick could play football teams wouldnt care about his national anthem stunt he already said he wouldn’t do it again.  But elite and good QBs win games they shouldnt win, the 49ers won 1 game with Kaepernick, its not because of his anthem stunt he doesnt have a team its he sucks.

When Peterson was younger he was probably as electric to watch as Barry Sanders, but the 2016 was not very good.  Unless you can average over 4.0 yards per carry I would say you are not adding that much to the team unless you are a goal line specialist or short yardage specialist where everyone and their mother knows 3 and 1 and your getting the football, for the backs that make that 90% of the time their YPC is always going to suck, and they are always going to have a job.

But I think AP glory days are long gone, and I dont think he is worth the bad press for a club.

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Gambling

As far as court goes, there are 3 things I just love, gambling, role playing and deductive reasoning puzzles.  I get to do all three in court.

If your a fan of theatre you would probably find some of the really good larpers entertaining.  I am not one of them.

But I worked out a spread sheet I use for football.  It is rather simple I take the last 5 games add the points for against the other teams points against, and I do that for both teams, I then do that for the last 5 games at home v. the last 5 games on the road for the visiting team.

I look for statistical outliers after that against the spread.

Some weeks no team pops out, other weeks I have had a half dozen teams pop out.  I do not look to bet every week so if a team doesnt pop out I dont even think of betting.

But the teams that do pop out I have fun with.  I think every fantasy football writers tries to predict out comes of games, they do this when they say so and so is going to get X yards and X touchdowns or whatever.  I also try to figure out a kickers projected points v. the other projections 4 for example could be 4 extra points, or a field goal and an extra point, depending on how they called the rest of the team will determine which way they were thinking.

Look I follow different sports writers for different reasons.  So I started breaking down commentary.  For a well written and thought out argument I like someone like Jason Cole from yahoo. or Jamie Eisen I think from CBS, and I could go around, there are a few.

part of me really enjoyed Chris Berman sense of humor when I started watching NFL Primetime, out of the writers I find Brad Evans really funny,

Then there are people like Good Morning Football Kate Adams, my dream woman, but she really understands how injuries effect players.  Imagine a woman a guy could have an intelligent conversation with about fantasy football.  Shes out there.

Well, if all the writers agree with my warped statistically outliers I feel comfortable placing the bet or giving advice on it.  If even one of them is dead set against it I say Ill pass on betting that game.  Like if the Pats play Pittsburgh my system says the Pats should win by 14, the spread is 6.  I say I ok I like that bet enough to look into it, but if even one fantasy writer comes back with Pittsburgh upsetting the Pats I say I will not bet on that game.

Over the past 3 years I have been wrong twice, over the past 4 years I have been wrong 6 times.  The number of games I decide to bet on or give advice on vary between 10-12 games a year.  I dont like week 1 because its based on last year, I dont like week 17 because its based on next year and some weeks my system says I dont like any game enough to bet on.

But with my warped system, and enjoyment of gambling.

I became aware of a Federal Law that states “No state that houses a professional sport can allow gambling of that sport.”  I think there were 4 states or so that had legalized sports book betting, Nevada, Montana, New jersey and Delaware.  But even though both the Giants and Jets play in east rutherford new jersey they are called New York teams

with the Raiders moving from Oakland to Vegas I am curious how that is going to effect sports book betting in Vegas.

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The NFL Draft

I am a Pats fan I do not question the wisdom of Bill Bellichek.  Some of his ideas come with extreme optimism.

Really the Pats traded away a 1st and a 3rd for Brandon Cooks im just giddy.

You say they lost their 4th round pick for deflate gate.

You say they traded away a pick for a Carolina Defensive back.

Well that leaves them what 3 or 4 picks.  Not one until the 3rd round.

Well I say screw it f Goodell and trade your way out of the draft entirely screw it your half way there now.

I am tickled with the off season additions.  Or at least try and trade down the 3rd round draft pick for a 4 and a 6th or something.  A couple of more lotto picks and that would be  (2) days as a pats fan I do not feel i would have to watch the NFL draft and that bozo Goodell.

The Pats are not drafting I am not watching, its that simple.

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